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28 October 2008

A sends:

Related:

House of Commons, Defence Committee, Ministry of Defence Main Estimates 2008–09, October 27, 2008:

http://cryptome.info/0001/MoDCosts2008.pdf (185KB)

House of Commons, Defence Committee, UK operations in Iraq and the Gulf, October 27, 2008

http://cryptome.info/0001/MoDOpsIraqGulf.pdf (139KB)


http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm200708/cmselect/cmdfence/uc718-ii/uc71802.htm

UNCORRECTED TRANSCRIPT OF ORAL EVIDENCE To be published as HC 718

House of COMMONS

MINUTES OF EVIDENCE

TAKEN BEFORE

DEFENCE COMMITTEE

NATIONAL SECURITY AND RESILIENCE

 

 

Tuesday 21 October 2008

RT HON BOB AINSWORTH MP, ADMIRAL LORD WEST OF SPITHEAD GCB DSC, MR JON DAY CBE, BRIGADIER CHIP CHAPMAN, MS GILLIAN McGREGOR

and MS CHLOE SQUIRES

Evidence heard in Public Questions 51 - 188

 

USE OF THE TRANSCRIPT
1. This is an uncorrected transcript of evidence taken in public and reported to the House. The transcript has been placed on the internet on the authority of the Committee, and copies have been made available by the Vote Office for the use of Members and others.
 
2. Any public use of, or reference to, the contents should make clear that neither witnesses nor Members have had the opportunity to correct the record. The transcript is not yet an approved formal record of these proceedings.
 
3. Members who receive this for the purpose of correcting questions addressed by them to witnesses are asked to send corrections to the Committee Assistant.
 
4. Prospective witnesses may receive this in preparation for any written or oral evidence they may in due course give to the Committee.
 
5. Transcribed by the Official Shorthand Writers to the Houses of Parliament:

W B Gurney & Sons LLP, Hope House, 45 Great Peter Street, London, SW1P 3LT

Telephone & Fax Number: 020 7233 1935

 

Oral Evidence

Taken before the Defence Committee

on Tuesday 21 October 2008

Members present

Mr James Arbuthnot, in the Chair
Mr David S. Borrow
Mr David Crausby
Mr David Hamilton
Mr Mike Hancock
Mr Dai Havard
Mr Adam Holloway
Mr Bernard Jenkin
Mr Brian Jenkins
John Smith

________________

Memorandum submitted by the Ministry of Defence

 

Examination of Witnesses

Witnesses: Rt Hon Bob Ainsworth MP, Minister of State for the Armed Forces, Admiral Lord West of Spithead GCB DSC, Parliamentary Under-Secretary of State for Security and Counter-Terrorism, Home Office, Mr Jon Day CBE, Policy Director, Ministry of Defence, Brigadier Chip Chapman, Director (Military) Counter-Terrorism and UK Operations, Ministry of Defence, Ms Gillian McGregor, Head of Operational Support and Knowledge Management, Office for Security and Counter-Terrorism, Home Office and Ms Chloe Squires, National Security Secretariat, Cabinet Office, gave evidence.

Q51 Chairman: Good morning and welcome to this session on national security. Minister, would you like to introduce your team?

Mr Ainsworth: Do you want me to make an opening statement as well, Chairman, or just make the introductions?

Q52 Chairman: No, thank you. At the moment just introduce your team - unless there is anything you have to say to start us off.

Mr Ainsworth: I have with me, Chairman, Jon Day, who is our Policy Director at the MoD; I also have with me Brigadier Chip Chapman, who is the Military Director of Counter-Terrorism and UK Operations in the department.

Lord West of Spithead: I have got Gillian McGregor who is from the Home Office; and Chloe Squires who is from the Cabinet Office.

Q53 Chairman: I have an opening statement, which is that this is very much a preliminary inquiry into national security, in the sense that we do not wish at this evidence session to go into lots of operational detail about how this country intends to defeat people who are intent on attacking it. There may be questions which we will ask which you will think it more appropriate to say it would be unhelpful to answer that question. In that case just say so. We do not want to go into a lot of secret secure stuff that would give succour to our enemies, as it were. So long as you make it plain when you do not want to go in particular directions that would be helpful to us. Minister, you began by talking about making an opening statement, is there a need for you to make an opening statement?

Mr Ainsworth: I have got one which I can read out to the Committee, if that is what you wish?

Q54 Chairman: No, thank you. National Security Strategy, who owns it?

Mr Ainsworth: The lead department for national security in the United Kingdom is the Home Office.

Q55 Chairman: How do you coordinate the roles of the various departments in relation to the National Security Strategy?

Mr Ainsworth: As far as the MoD is concerned, we seek to make our contribution by being involved in all of the relevant committees so that we can get ourselves involved in the initial planning right through to being available to make people aware of the various capabilities we have got. We do not lead in any of this work. The very fact that we are involved enables us to explain to people what we can and what we cannot do, what is available and what is not available, and to make sure they understand how to access all of the various capabilities that the Ministry of Defence holds.

Q56 Mr Jenkin: Does not the Home Office lead inevitably lead us to a rather narrow definition of what a National Security Strategy is, given that, for example, our foreign policy is crucial to our national security?

Lord West of Spithead: If I could just clarify - the Home Office does not lead on the whole National Security Strategy. We are responsible for the counter-terrorist aspect of it and specific Home Office duties. The National Security Strategy is an overarching strategy covering all departments and is coordinated within the Cabinet Office. There is a senior official there who is responsible for putting that altogether, that is Robert Hannigan, and he is responsible direct to a Cabinet committee, an NSID committee, and directly then to the Prime Minister. That is the way, at the moment, it is actually structured and set up. All departments have submitted to the National Security Strategy; that was pulled together last autumn and through over Christmas, and then of course resulted in the final strategy being produced, the first time that has ever actually been done, which was on 19 March this year. The minister who owns it is the Prime Minister effectively; the man who coordinates it all in the Cabinet Office is a very senior official, and that is Robert Hannigan. Ministers get involved with it, clearly, because on the NSID the MoD sits, the Foreign Office sits, a whole raft of secretaries of state sit there, so they are involved in it there; but it is not actually owned into the Home Office directly in that way. We have inputs on counter-terrorism and things like that.

Mr Ainsworth: I am sorry, Chairman, the counter-terrorism aspect I meant for the Home Office. I did not want to confuse you.

Q57 Mr Jenkin: That would explain why the NSS is a bit of a Christmas tree because there is no single minister responsible for creating coherence in the National Security Strategy?

Lord West of Spithead: First of all, I would have to say I am not sure that it is a Christmas tree. As I say, I think this is the first time this has been pulled together. I have to say that in my Seaford House paper in 1993 I suggested that we ought to do something like this but it has taken rather a long time to happen. This is the first time this has happened. I think it is very, very good and it is something that will go on and grow. It is a very good first attempt to actually put together in one document all of the key areas of concern to this nation from all the various government departments; and to try actually as well to give some sort of assessment there of what actually we have done about the various things, what each department has done about them, and actually to try to maybe identify levels of risk. That has been quite difficult to do. It is a broad document, and of course we have now set up the National Security Secretariat, and William Nye is the senior civil servant who that is under. He is pulling together his team and he is doing the various bits of work that were identified when we produced this National Security Strategy; for example, we need to establish proper parliamentary oversight, and proposals for that will be going out soon. Also, for example, the National Security Forum, how that will be constructed again, that will be going out very soon, this autumn; putting in place these various things. Of course, that secretariat then will lead on the work to move towards a refreshed National Security Strategy next year, which will probably be in the early summer, which will I hope be even more comprehensive, even more fine-tuned, and will have identified and done some work in other areas where we have identified there were gaps before. For example, there are certain areas which I have already talked to him about that he starting work with his secretariat to actually attack.

Q58 Chairman: Minister, how has the Ministry of Defence's approach been affected by the publication of the National Security Strategy? Has it changed in any way and, if so, what?

Mr Ainsworth: We have been involved in the development of the National Security Strategy. We have got officials who have been involved in the development of that. Ministers sit on the committee, as Lord West has just said. It is early days to say that it in itself has developed our capabilities because there is a lot of work still to be done. However, we have developed alongside the Adam Ingram report a compendium of defence capabilities in order to make sure that there is better understanding by all who need to know exactly the full range of what defence has to offer, so they can access it, and that has been part of that process.

Mr Day: Throughout my career the MoD has been criticised for pursuing a defence policy in isolation from the wider context. I think for the first time, as has been said, the National Security Strategy provides that broader context for our thinking, rather than having to create that context on a case-by-case basis, annually or in the context of defence reviews. For us it gives us a much more coherent basis for our planning.

Q59 Chairman: What has the Ministry of Defence actually done in terms of the National Security Strategy?

Mr Day: The National Security Strategy will play into the next iteration of defence strategic guidance, and it will provide the context for that. It is essentially a planning document. It also provides substance to the committee framework on which we sit. For the first time it will underpin our planning in a way we have not had a central government doctrine in the past.

Q60 Chairman: When you say "will" underpin your planning; it has already?

Mr Day: It is. It is playing into the current iteration of defence strategic guidance which, as you know, is the basis for our planning.

Q61 Mr Holloway: You have got doctrines, plans, committees, initiatives, X, Y and Z and of course it all sounds absolutely marvellous, but the reality is that we are not winning the war on terror. Do you not think we could be doing rather more in terms of dealing with the drivers of radicalisation and be a little more sensitive in our foreign policy because it might actually make your job rather easier?

Mr Ainsworth: "We" the Department of Defence, or "we" the government overall?

Q62 Mr Holloway: The government overall, the Department of Defence, from where you are sitting do you ever find it rather frustrating that you are picking up the pieces of something that, self-evidently, is not working?

Mr Ainsworth: In what way is it not working? We have a threat; the threat has been developed; it is a global threat and it is developing over years and we have to respond to that in kinds of different ways. Of course preventing radicalisation is a part of that. Defence has a role to play in that as well, but not necessarily a lead role. Actually explaining what we do, the way we do it and the way we conduct operations in order to prevent radicalisation is a role that we can play as defence. We do attempt that; it is not easy and we maybe need to do more; but that is a responsibility of the whole of government to explain its foreign policy, the reasons for its foreign policy; and to attempt to make sure everything about that is explained and is as positive as possible and not having a negative effect.

Lord West of Spithead: I cannot remember your exact turn of phrase there, but actually we have done a great deal in terms of what you loosely call (and I do not like the term) "war on terror"; I would say "excising the terrorist cancer from our society" and actually making us all safer. We have done a huge amount. The formation of the OSCT last year I think was a splendid decision; I had nothing to do with it; I have to say I was not in government at that stage. It took the responsibility for coordination of counter-terrorism across all government departments away from the Cabinet Office, where they did not have the resources for it, and it is now based in the Home Office. The OSCT, under Charles Farr, has been a huge success story. Our counter-terrorist strategy CONTEST was first produced in 2006; we are busy refreshing that and there will be a CONTEST 2 coming out later this year. All sorts of things have been addressed in there. We have done some really good work on the Protect strand. We have done some really good work on the Pursue strand; you can see that when you look at the number of cases going through our courts. We have done an immense amount of work on Prevent, which is stopping radicalisation and stopping extremism. This work had not really been done going back historically. We have actually looked at what are the causes of it; we have put a lot of effort into that. We have got a whole agenda that goes across all government. We now have a weekly security meeting chaired by the Home Secretary, Vernon Coaker or me which gets people from every single department. The MoD are there and they go through issues to do with Prevent; we get briefings from the agencies who are there; we have DCLG; other government departments; and this is really closely coordinated and done and actually I think we are delivering a huge amount. It does not mean the threat has gone away, sadly, because the threat is very high; but we have done a huge amount. As this slowly comes out, what has been achieved, I think quite rightly people will be very proud of what is being done. To be honest we should have done it because we put a lot of resource into it, a lot of effort into it, and those things are beginning to pay off.

Q63 Mr Holloway: I completely accept, amongst this raft of initiatives, there has been some great stuff; but the fact remains that out there in the world we are still delivering defeat. We have got a huge problem with British kids of Pakistani origin; we have got some serious problems in the operational theatres; and Muslim public opinion around the world moves against us by the day.

Lord West of Spithead: I would not actually put it on that basis. All I would say is we have a very closely coordinated plan with the Foreign Office and with MoD about the things we should be doing in places like Afghanistan and other places. We have an outward-looking communications policy; RICU are doing certain work on this. We are looking very carefully at the use of language. We are engaging the Muslim communities in this country in discussion and debate about things. We accept that certain aspects of our foreign policy have caused difficulties with them, but now at least we are engaging in debate with them. I have found that when you talk to them the first discussion with a group is actually pretty hardcore stuff for you, but actually when you do it the second and third time they begin to understand once you explain why you are doing things. They will not always see eye-to-eye, and I think it is those things that we are doing which are all having an effect. This is not going to change just like that. To stop this radicalisation of extremism is going to take (and I will get into trouble for saying this) about 30 years, I think, but it will become a virtuous circle; it will start getting better and better. We have to embark on it and the recognition of that I think is one of the big things that has happened over the last 15 months of the OSCT. That huge Prevent package I think is something we should be proud of. It is not perfect and there are lots of things we have got to do but, my goodness me, we cannot arrest and protect ourselves out of this problem. We have got to have the forces to do the arrests if necessary to look after us, and protect ourselves as necessary while we are doing this, but that is not the way to ultimately solve the problem.

Q64 Mr Hancock: I am curious because when you first answered that question you suggested that there had been success in stopping radicalisation of parts of the community. I would be interested to know how you judge that because when I speak to young Muslims, and I have a sizeable contingent in my own constituency and around the area, I do not see that happening. I am interested to know how you judge the success or otherwise of what you are doing?

Lord West of Spithead: You have hit right on one of the very, very difficult areas. Getting measures of some of these - for the first time ever we have actually got PSAs for some of our counter-terrorism, which was not there before, which is good; but how actually do you measure? It is extremely difficult. An awful lot of what people work on is hearsay and nothing actually tangible; it is not empirical evidence. One of the things we have had to do is try and work out what we can use as empirical evidence. We are putting work into prisons, into places of worship, into sports clubs. I would not pretend for a moment that we have made a huge, huge win here and it is galloping down, and that is why I say it will take that length of time; but we are beginning to get there; we are beginning to have discussions with people. We have identified organisations that actually help us and are sympathetic to the way we are going, who agree with the same shared values that all humans have and that we all have, rather than some groups that did not actually go down that route, and we are really beginning to make progress. I do not pretend for a moment we are nearly there. I regularly go out and talk to youngsters, and some of the reactions I find just amazing because you think, "How on earth can you believe that?" We need to have a dialogue; we need to do this; and we are actually doing that now, I think.

Q65 Mr Jenkins: When I heard the term "overarching strategy" I thought that is a great title, a great term. Within that do we have different departments reporting, like stovepipes, up to the top, or have the departments changed their policy, and are they working closer with each other so there are departments working at every level? How has that approach changed the operation of the MoD; and has the MoD felt its role in working through the Home Office is somewhat restrained; or is it quite happy to do that; or would it like more contacts, please?

Mr Day: Shall I give you an example of the sort of cross-Whitehall working that is now becoming the norm?

Q66 Mr Jenkins: Yes, please.

Mr Day: Under the NSID framework there is an Afghan strategy group which brings together all of the key departments involved in Afghan issues: Foreign, Defence, DFID, Home Office, the agencies when necessary. That organisation has created the joined-up strategy for Afghanistan that was agreed last year by NSID, which had not previously existed. More important than that it now is the vehicle through which we implement a joined-up strategy through our military and civilian agencies on the ground, but also that we are now measuring success. So there is now a cross-government structure for formulating and delivering strategy. Another example, we talked about the Prevent agenda, within the foreign and security policy context there are two information strategy groups that deal with the information side of Iraq and Afghanistan. This work is now integrated with what the domestic departments do, for example, RICU and other parts of the Home Office. There is a much greater joined-up approach to these problems. This all flows down from the National Security Strategy, which is a change of culture as much as anything else.

Q67 John Smith: Without giving away any secrets, can you say hand on heart that this new joined-up approach to the national security threats on our country has actually prevented or deterred actual threat of attack or security threats against us, since you have been taking this new approach?

Mr Ainsworth: There are repeated examples at every level of a joined-up approach to all the different threats that there are. This provides the umbrella under which to do that. The MoD is constantly responding to requests for assistance from other government departments, both within the United Kingdom and outside the United Kingdom as well. It is just developing that relationship and making sure that we are properly plugged into the decision-making framework and we can make that contribution and people know exactly what contribution there is that is there to be made.

Q68 John Smith: Are you able to say that attacks have been prevented by approaching it in this way?

Lord West of Spithead: I think I should answer that, being the counter-terrorism minister. I think there are two strands. First of all, we were talking initially and I think Jon Day was talking about the National Security Strategy and the joined-up-ness there which is through these NSID committees, which stands for National Security and International Development, another one of these acronyms. It is a Cabinet committee and it has various subcommittees of that Cabinet committee that look at various specifics. That is where all government departments are and that is how you get lots of joined-up stuff at National Security Strategy level better than ever before; and looking at the totality of our security in a different sort of way, not just nation on nation or whatever, but looking at it in a different way. I think your question more was relating down at the counter-terrorist level and the cross-government work that the OSCT is doing. Clearly I cannot go into specifics - if you get anywhere near specifics everyone gets terribly excited and jumps around - but actually the reality is that we have had successes which have stopped attacks in this country. I think it is fair to say we have had successes that have stopped certainly hundreds, if not thousands, of people being killed. So there have been successes. I am not talking about just in the last year - this is over a period of time. One can see that from some of the trials coming through the courts where, because we have doubled the size of the security service, because we are watching these people, we are able to move before they do things and then act. The answer to that is, yes, but clearly I cannot go into details.

Q69 Mr Havard: We have got a National Security Strategy within which there is a component that deals with counter-terrorism essentially, and that element is now vested, for policy purposes, in the OSCT in the Home Office, and coordination of responses for that is largely with the Cabinet Office, into which all the other government departments essentially feed in various different ways. Is that essentially what you are explaining to me?

Lord West of Spithead: No. The OSCT leads on cross-government coordination for counter-terrorism. Counter-terrorism is one facet of our National Security Strategy. Within there, there are things like the strategic deterrent; defence of the United Kingdom; there are issues in there now for the first time to do with Resilience; to do with natural disasters; to do with pandemics; the whole gamut of threats to our nation and our people.

Q70 Mr Havard: My question then is this: it seems as though there is an elaborate architecture to deal with the counter-terrorism element, which you now describe, but you have described something that goes beyond that. Is this the only thing that is essentially in the National Security Strategy? Who does the other bits? Who coordinates the policy on those? This is a question which other people have asked of me which is: is it not time to have one ministerial position in the government responsible for bringing the whole of the National Security Strategy together rather than just one element of it, which is counter-terrorism etc?

Lord West of Spithead: I think it is more joined-up than you would suggest. Within the National Security Strategy, which is coordinated and held by this official Robert Hannigan who reports directly through Cabinet committees to the Prime Minister, the Prime Minister effectively is the minister who actually holds this. These things are coordinated, for example if it is Resilience, by the contingency secretariat who do all of the Resilience issues; so they are coordinating all of those things. You saw we produced a thing called the NRA, the National Risk Assessment, and we produced an unclassified version of the National Risk Register. That is all being coordinated by them, and they work to Robert Hannigan on those things. In terms of defence, the issues to do with defence and what they are doing were explained by Jon Day, how that inputs into there and how that is done. When it comes to pandemic, the Department of Health has the lead on that, and again they will talk about that. This is all coordinated by Robert Hannigan and, by now, the National Security Secretariat - which did not exist before and I am very glad we have now established that and that can actually pull this together better than ever before - then it funnels up through the Cabinet committee and ultimately to the Prime Minister. Should there be a minister doing that? This is something which has been thought about, and we have not come to a final decision on that as yet.

Q71 Chairman: Are we not very unusual in terms of Western countries in not having a national security adviser at the level of Condoleezza Rice?

Lord West of Spithead: I have to say without looking I do not know.

Mr Day: The fundamental difference I think between what you are suggesting and the current approach is that to introduce a minister with the sort of responsibilities you are talking about would either require them to be a coordinator, or to have overarching responsibility (and I am sorry to use that word again) across a range of very large government departments: the Foreign Office; Ministry of Defence; large elements of the Home Office; DFID; the Department of Health; a whole range of departments. You would have to take a decision as to whether that individual minister took responsibility for all of these departments, or was simply a coordinator. At the moment we have the coordinating model which is done through an official working to the Prime Minister. The alternative model would be quite difficult to implement within our current structure, and would require significant changes to the machinery of government. I am not sure that Condi Rice is quite the equivalent in that respect, because I am not sure that she has the responsibilities across such a large range of what we are calling "national security risks".

Q72 Mr Hamilton: The one that is missing from all of the contributions is the devolved parliaments, because if you talk about health, if you talk about serious crime that comes under the Scottish Parliament. Therefore there is not a minister responsible; that has to be a dialogue that takes place. Surely it is commonsense to talk about - those matters should be taken from a devolved parliament and brought back into a reserve power. I mean it quite seriously. There is an issue about a reserve power which covers the whole of the UK instead of a patchwork quilt which we have got at the present time. Whoever the minister is will have to deal with a devolved parliament, with the appropriate minister in that devolved parliament about fisheries, about serious drugs and about health. Surely it makes sense that that part of terrorism should be brought right back in and it should be all encompassing?

Mr Ainsworth: There is a lead department for every analysed threat. Where it is a devolved matter, in Scotland a devolved parliament would take the lead. MoD and all of the other parts of government would plug in and give support. Where it is not a devolved matter then the Home Office, or whoever else is taking the lead, would lead on that. Some of these threats exist at the local level and at the regional level. Where is there the need therefore to take that back to a national planning assumption? If there is a threat in Scotland specific to Scotland then it is perfectly appropriate for the devolved administration to take the lead in that area.

Lord West of Spithead: Defence and counter-terrorism are reserved issues, so clearly they are dealt with on a national basis. When it comes to Resilience and things like that, the devolved administrations do sit on the Cabinet committee so that they are fully involved in those discussions. I think this is addressed; maybe it is not as elegant and tidy as it should be but then that maybe is partly to do with other structures, but at least we get the input from them all.

Mr Hamilton: The point I am making is that it is still evolving. If it is still evolving then maybe that should be addressed also. If the policy is still evolving, which it is, then maybe that should be looked at again.

Q73 Chairman: You have heard what he has said. It seems to be a sensible point.

Lord West of Spithead: Yes, absolutely.

Q74 Mr Hancock: I am grateful for the comments we have heard, particularly the one that it is still open to debate whether or not we do have a minister with overall responsibility.

Lord West of Spithead: Can I clarify that. The position is that it is something that has been thought about now certainly for the last 15 months. There are huge implications, and what exactly is he doing, and so we got nowhere in terms of getting anywhere.

Q75 Mr Hancock: I understand the implications, because it is about the ministers giving up power and nobody wants to do that. I understand that but I am heartened by the idea that it is still open to discussion. I would hope that the majority of the British people would like to see somebody like that who is actually given that responsibility. If the seriousness of the situation is such as you have described then the one thing for sure is people do not want to see this done through an elevation of committee structures, ending up with the Prime Minister. There needs to be some sort of coordination there at senior ministerial level - a job for the Deputy Prime Minister, if we had one. I am curious about your suggestion, because when you were asked questions about this organisation you did not actually tell us what the Ministry of Defence were bringing to the party. You told us about all these systems that were being set up, but you did not tell us exactly what differences there were going to be in the past. I am curious about how you are now sure you are going to be sustained in the loop; that the intelligence services are sharing with you information; that the Home Office and Cabinet Office are coming to you at the earliest opportunity, not as an afterthought. I think that is the crucial question the MoD has to answer. What are you bringing to the party? Are you satisfied that the processes that are being talked about are sufficiently secure enough for you to be sure you are being told at the first instance and not at the last step?

Mr Day: On the final point, I am absolutely sure that we are joined-up entirely into the intergovernmental loop to as greater degree as we have ever been. I do not see that as a problem. As far as what the MoD is bringing is concerned, in terms of the operations we are conducting we bring the defence perspective, we bring the capabilities, we bring a level of understanding about operations and policy that does not exist anywhere else in government. Equally other departments bring the same. In terms of counter-terrorism and Resilience we can perhaps go into that in more detail but, as the Minister said, we bring a range of niche capabilities and a "back-up", if you like. It is very difficult to explain when you are not part of it, but there is a closeness of cooperation now in dealing with a whole range of issues that means, for example, we are able to produce a strategy for Afghanistan that integrates and has the buy-in of very, very different actors from defence, through to DFID, through to the agencies, in formulating and implementing policy. That, to my experience, is something we have not always been good at in the past.

Mr Ainsworth: The fear seems to be that policy will develop and Defence will not be involved in that and will not have a say in the direction of travel. We are involved in the planning process exactly in order to prevent that from happening. We are completely embedded within it. We can see the developments are happening and see proposals as they come forward and we can have our say and have our input into that. As far as access then to defence capability is concerned, of course that has to be done through the Ministry of Defence; it has to be cleared through the Ministry of Defence; so I do not really understand the concern that there is about us being left behind or left out. We are embedded in the planning process and then have control over the contributions that we make to any particular scenario which arises.

Q76 Mr Hancock: No-one was suggesting you were being left out; we were making sure that you were actually included in.

Mr Ainsworth: We are.

Q77 Mr Hancock: I would feel sad if you were left out, but none of us have mentioned that.

Mr Ainsworth: I thought that was your concern.

Q78 Mr Jenkins: If we, as you tell me, have got in position a security coordinator who now is capable of pulling together different parts of different departments, and we may possibly have a minister who could do that but that would be politically dangerous if he were in conflict with other ministers in other departments - I think that is the underlying contention - and we might look at this procedure, do you not think, Minister, in a democracy it is better to have a minister who can be brought to the House and questioned rather than a coordinator who cannot be brought to the House and questioned?

Mr Ainsworth: Yes, of course we need accountability for the decisions taken, and ministers must take that responsibility at the end of the day. What needs to be coordinated is the information flow, and that needs to be coordinated on a regular basis. There is the ability to bring ministers together whenever that is necessary in order to take the required decisions.

Q79 Mr Havard: Is the active debate really one about not necessarily having a minister who is responsible for all these things, but essentially back to this argument about a security adviser so that this coordinating position becomes something slightly different, and in a sense almost in between being a minister and having more capacity than just simply having a coordinating function? It raises still the question that Brian raises about democratic deficit in terms of being able to hold them to account. Is that the real debate that is happening?

Mr Ainsworth: If you put a single person in charge of the whole of the national security environment, or the counter-terrorism environment in that regard, then that single minister winds up being responsible for MoD's ability to counter-terrorism in the -----

Q80 Mr Havard: What about a security adviser.

Mr Ainsworth: MoD's ability to counter-terrorism in the maritime environment; MoD's responsibility with regards to rapid reaction in the air environment; and right through the whole spectrum to how you deal with a flu pandemic, with all the expertise that is there and available in the Department of Health. How you would capture that in a single person - whereas Alan said, they would either become a coordinator themselves; or you would be setting up some kind of pretty strange and far-reaching department.

Q81 Mr Havard: That is why I asked you the question. Is it an active debate about having an adviser as opposed to a minister?

Lord West of Spithead: I think the active debate more, now we have moved from the National Security Strategy (for example you talked of accountability), is exactly how we will set up the joint committee on National Security Strategy within Parliament, to actually look at the National Security Strategy and actually be looking at that. That will be coming out in the matter of the next few weeks. Because the Prime Minister has the responsibility for this - as I say, Robert Hannigan through the Cabinet committee supports the Prime Minister - the Prime Minister is the man who is responsible for the National Security Strategy, he has been rather tied up with some other bits and pieces and that has slowed down this move. As I say, this autumn that will come out. We will also establish the National Security Forum which will have a focus group and will be able to aid and assist these things, and I think that will allow us to have a very good and refreshed National Security Strategy next spring. These other issues, as I say, have been hot topics; for 15 months people have been talking about exactly what that top hamper should look like; and I do not think we have absolutely decided yet. I am in no doubt whatsoever that the coordination works well within the Cabinet Office. Robert Hannigan has a very firm hand on this. The areas of Resilience are coordinated by the contingency secretariat. Other people feed into the various Cabinet committees, and therefore we have a very good handle on this composite of risks to our nation, and actually which departments are dealing with it, and each department will then deal with them separately. For example, if we come into Resilience, there are a number of departments responsible and it gets pushed right down to a local level, so local government actually has its local Resilience forums and actually produces plans for things. All this, I think, is actually remarkably well coordinated. It does not mean there is not room for improvement. Now we have this overall strategy it makes things a lot easier.

Chairman: It may be that you have a very good handle on it, but it is a year now since the National Security Strategy was produced and Parliament does not have a good handle on it and it is really about time it did.

Q82 Mr Holloway: Admiral, I worry about this because I think some of this talk is possibly dilusional. If you talk about having a joined-up approach in Afghanistan, which I know a tiny bit about; I lose faith in everything else you are saying about what else is happening behind the scenes. As a military man you and, I guess, I, in my pathetic military career, were always told if you wanted to win an insurgency you did not need coordination forums, focus groups, secretariat, yet more self-licking lollipop process; we were told that you had to have unity of command and unity of purpose. Do we have either in the UK at the moment on this - unity of command and unity of purpose?

Lord West of Spithead: I think really this is a defence question, is it not?

Q83 Mr Holloway: No, in terms of dealing with this problem.

Lord West of Spithead: In terms of dealing with the National Security Strategy?

Q84 Mr Holloway: In terms of dealing with the threat we face, and forget about the process at the moment.

Lord West of Spithead: I think we absolutely do have a clear assessment of what the threat is. What is being done to tackle it? All the various departments are there. It is a much more all-encompassing view than it ever was before. As I say, it ranges through flu pandemics, through flooding, coastal flooding, a whole raft of things that before were never ever really looked at in a comprehensive way and now for the first time this is happening. For hundreds of years we have never done that (and today is Trafalgar Day, and I wish you all a Merry Trafalgar Day; about this time I think Admiral Collingwood was breaking the line) and for the first time ever we have actually moved down that route. I think people should be congratulated for doing that - that we are actually trying to tackle this now. We did not have an all-encompassing thing before and now we have.

Q85 Mr Jenkin: We have mentioned Robert Hannigan a few times and he is this coordinator. Why is he not here answering for the government on this?

Lord West of Spithead: I do not know. You would have asked him presumably?

Chairman: I will take responsibility for this, as for most things.

Q86 Mr Jenkin: Does that not underline how in fact accountability is confused? Lord West, you are more refreshingly honest than is probably good for you, your political career I mean, because when you say the Prime Minister has been very busy with other things, is that not exactly the point: the Prime Minister needs someone at his own level sitting at his right-hand side, watching his back and dealing with all these issues, rather than it being lost in the bureaucracy of the Cabinet Office and in the coordination between different departments? It cannot have the same coherence than if a minister was at the Prime Minister's side coordinating these issues.

Lord West of Spithead: I cannot give a direct answer to that. What I would say is that there is nothing involved with the security of this nation that is not dealt with immediately by the right people to do that.

Q87 Mr Jenkin: I am sure that is the case.

Lord West of Spithead: I am not over-fussed by my political career; I am very fussed by the security of this country, which is why I am doing the job I am doing. I can assure you those things are looked at straight away and dealt with.

Q88 Mr Hancock: Can I ask a direct question of the Cabinet Office about Resilience. Do you know exactly at this moment how many members of the Armed Forces there are, where they are located, and what they would be able to do if you needed them? Do you know that now? I am looking to the Cabinet Office to answer this question. Coordination means that they ought to. If Resilience means anything it means they ought to know because the Ministry of Defence would have told them on a pretty regular basis.

Mr Ainsworth: If somebody in the Cabinet Office does not know exactly what forces we have got in a particular part of the country at any one time, I do not think anybody around this table should be surprised by that; but there is a structure for them to find out immediately at any level that they wish to do so. First of all, there is the Commander, Land Forces who is double-hatted in terms of being the national contact for defence capability; and then we have got the regional structure underneath that. If it is regional people who want to know, they have those relationships already and they plug straight into them.

Lord West of Spithead: In the area, for example, of counter-terrorism - and again this is a step forward that the MoD have done - they have now produced a defence, counter-terrorism and Resilience capabilities compendium - this never existed before - which the OSCT can look at; it says what operations they are involved in; what they are doing; what forces are available for certain things. Yes, in the Cabinet Office they would not know the direct answer, as my colleague says, of course they would not, but they could find out straight away. Some very good things have been done - that is just in counter-terrorism - but in other areas as well to make these things available.

Q89 Mr Hancock: Going down a very long chain before they got the answer.

Mr Ainsworth: The person who is going to be asking the question is the person who is going to be faced up to the threat, and that person at whatever level needs to access military capability, quickly, easily and comprehensively. For instance, when we had the floods in Gloucestershire last year, the command was taken by the Chief Constable of the local area straightaway; he had already a relationship with the regional brigadier who became part of that long command, and who gave him sight of and access to military capability. That is how the system worked at that level.

Q90 Mr Hancock: Some of the Committee were lucky enough to go the Counter-Terrorism Science Technology Centre and they have an extraordinary range of capabilities there, but one of the things the Committee picked up on was the difficulty they were having in getting other government departments to make use of them and to learn from their experiences and use their abilities. What are you going to do to make sure that government agencies are actually looking to that capability and to make better use of it than appears to be the case at the present time?

Mr Ainsworth: Capability is in the compendium we have already talked about, and you can see that yourselves. It is a classified document, so we cannot make it ------

Q91 Mr Hancock: Why are they not using it?

Mr Ainsworth: They are using it. There are requests for their assistance that come to me on a regular basis.

Q92 Mr Hancock: You are satisfied that all government departments who need to are making use of the facility that is there?

Mr Ainsworth: The purpose of the compendium is to make sure that people know exactly what is available to them. For Resilience purposes we will try to make a non-classified document available to a wider community so they can access those capabilities.

Q93 Mr Hancock: What are you doing about making sure those other agencies and departments know what is available there? Why do you think they are not using it at the moment?

Mr Ainsworth: I do not accept they are not using it at the moment. Defence capability is being used by lots of different people on lots of different occasions. It is difficult to go into specifics for obvious reasons but they are being used. The purpose of creating the compendium is to give greater visibility to everybody who needs it so that they can use that capability.

Lord West of Spithead: What establishment are we talking about?

Q94 Mr Hancock: This is the Counter-terrorism Science and Technology Centre at DSTL. Are you saying they are not, in their opinion, fighting an uphill battle to get other agencies to make use of them?

Brigadier Chapman: DSTL have a number of immediate response teams. Those immediate response teams have been used a number of times this year. If they are not used we would argue that is probably a sign of success because of increasing civil resilience. The number of occasions they have been used and the circumstances I cannot obviously go into at this forum. Every civil power is aware of what can be brought to bear across a capability framework. The  Protect framework and what the scientific support community can bring, all those who need to know seem to be aware because they are used on a regular basis.

Mr Day: We would be very happy to pass you a copy of the compendium on a classified basis and a list of those people who have it and have access to it.

Q95 Chairman: Yes, it would be helpful if you could.

Lord West of Spithead: Mike has picked up on a point and I think in a sense there is some validity in some of it. Last October I become very clear, for example, that the MoD has more money to look at the scientific development of various counter-terrorist devices than, say, the Home Office; and then there are other government departments all doing the same and the agencies. What was quite clear was there was not a cohesiveness amongst them, bearing in mind this is all a pot of government money, of what are the priorities where this should be going on. Therefore I got the government Chief Scientist last autumn, just before Christmas, to agree to have a meeting of all the chief scientific advisers from all the various departments, and that group now are looking at pulling together and coordinating an overall counter-terrorist scientific requirement. People like the HOSTB, the Home Office science labs, the agency labs will pull these altogether so we do not find, for example, that one department is sending a lot of money to develop something and actually another department is doing the same. That is more coordinated than it was, and we are moving down the track to be able to establish a very sensible look. This will resolve even slight issues they might feel at places like that. I think that is firmly on track to tie that all together.

Q96 Chairman: I do not think that we would want to give the impression from our visit to the Counter-terrorism Science and Technology Centre that everything was going wrong, because we thought that they were very impressive. There was just more we felt that could be done to get what they have to offer out into the broader government community.

Mr Ainsworth: Chairman, that is the purpose of producing the compendium.

Mr Day: Exactly as the Minister says, it was in response to our concern about this that we produced the compendium, which was only issued during the summer. Inevitably there will be a lag, but we are confident the information other government departments and other agencies require is contained in this document.

Brigadier Chapman: The final codicil to that is that CT centre personnel do sit on CONTEST, science and technology boards, so they do have linkages into the Home Office, science and development branch.

Lord West of Spithead: The significance of that is the linkage for making that look across all government, where the investment is going in and how we can pull all those things together.

Chairman: We need to see whether that linkage is working as effectively as it could be. In answer to Bernard Jenkin's question, I understand we did ask to see Robert Hannigan but, for good reason, he is away and unable to be here today.

Q97 Mr Crausby: The Committee wanted to explore, with more practical questions, into the cooperation between departments and agencies. I suppose I should begin by asking Mr Ainsworth, what structures do you have in place to work with the UK police forces?

Mr Ainsworth: Commander-in-Chief, Land is double-hatted as the standing joint commander. He has overall responsibility for ensuring that defence cooperates with other government departments. We then have the regional structure which plugs into all of those other government departments at that regional level. All of the planning of training work that takes place across government departments, the MoD is a part of that, is consulted on the developments that are being made and able to cooperate and be fully involved.

Q98 Mr Crausby: I want to make sure that we do not get so concerned with all the technical arguments at the top that we do not get down to the real business on the ground. Can I ask effectively both Mr Ainsworth and Lord West: do Armed Force units take part in regular inter-agency training exercises? How do you satisfy yourself that units are ready to deploy in an emergency and can work seamlessly with all the emergency services, the police, fire brigade, ambulance service, and indeed any other necessary organisations?

Mr Ainsworth: At a national level there is usually a counter-terrorism exercise carried out every year. MoD is fully involved in that. There are three Resilience exercises carried out every year. We are involved in those as well. There are all kinds of different exercises, decided at a local level or decided at a regional level, where MoD is fully involved in a way that it wishes to be. With regard to, how do I satisfy myself that the capability is there and available, the niche capabilities that we are tasked to provide are wholly and solely our responsibility, to make sure they are maintained. So we maintain a maritime capability. We have other niche capabilities it is difficult to talk about - air rapid reaction capability; they are all solely the MoD's responsibility. Although they are encapsulated in the overall national strategy they are our responsibility to maintain them at the level of readiness that we are committed to do.

Mr Day: I do not think it has really been clear yet - the Army's non-deployable brigade structure in the UK is designed specifically to provide a command and control and cooperation and coordination structure with the civil agencies. Our structure is designed specifically with the sort of thing you are talking about in mind.

Q99 Mr Havard: It is a peripheral point in a sense, but the question was not only other formal agencies but other organisations. I declare an interest here: I am Secretary of the All-Party Mountain Rescue Search Team group and this is an organisation that is purely voluntary. It has to be able to communicate with all these other organisations, and communications is the key to all these responses. We saw this in America with 9/11; we have seen now a new system in the tube, for example, in London so people can communicate whenever they need to. Digitalised processes of communication cost a lot of money. It is special pleading in one sense but I have been arguing with the Prime Minister about getting some extra money to support some of these voluntary organisations, but they are first responders, second responders, and they are a vital part of the whole picture. The military has to be able to talk to everybody essentially. Could I just make a plea that when you do look at this stuff you actually take into account when these exercises are done that all of the agencies can properly communicate with one another, because there is a growing problem with maintaining that capacity from what is a growing area of people who need to help you in terms of the response.

Brigadier Chapman: Can I pick that up on behalf of the Minister. Just taking the very good example of the mountain rescue teams, as you are aware the RAF maintains four different mountain rescue teams across the country and they have communications which can communicate with the first line responders, including Airwave, which is the principal response communications from police, ambulance and fire services.

Mr Havard: We get great support on the Brecon Beacons from Chivenor; there is not a problem with that, that is not the point. It is the point that it is becoming increasingly expensive for voluntary organisations to keep pace with the technological change - whether it is the police, ambulance service, fire service, military whoever - in order to be able to continue to make that contribution.

Q100 Mr Crausby: Our visit to the Defence Academy last week, I think, provoked us into wanting to ensure that we get full value from the Defence Academy. Whilst I know that it must be very difficult for you to be specific about the training that the Armed Forces undertake for military assistance with the civil authorities, I think what we wanted to draw out really today was to ensure that that is going on and to ask broader questions, such as, is there any doctrinal training going on, for example?

Brigadier Chapman: We have a defined doctrine which is out to all government departments, which is called 'Operations in the UK: Defence Contribution to Resilience - JDP-02', which actually was only republished last year, as I think I am right in saying that it is the second edition. That goes through all the gamut of military support to the military and civil authorities, including MACP, MACD and military aid to the civil communities.

Q101 Mr Crausby: Can you tell us in broad terms what role the Defence Academy plays in this regard with both the MoD and the Government, but broadly? I know it is very difficult for you to go into specifics, but we are interested, as I say, to ensure that we take full advantage of the facilities there.

Brigadier Chapman: The actual doctrinal publication is produced by the Defence Academy through the Director General of Developments, Concepts and Doctrine, so they are plugged in with any developments in this area.

Q102 John Smith: We were, Mr Chairman, as you know, very impressed by what we witnessed at the Defence Academy last week, and I know the Minister is very familiar with what is going on there. I wonder, do you see a greater role that could be played by that Academy in the training of not just military personnel to support civil authorities, but in the training of civil authorities and in fact possibly training the Cabinet? I do not think it would be a bad idea, from our experience last week, to have the Cabinet down once or twice a year and, instead of going to Chequers, perhaps they could go to the Defence Academy and co-ordinate some of this strategy.

Mr Ainsworth: You were really impressed, but have you ever been to Chequers, I do not know!

Q103 John Smith: I used to work there.

Mr Ainsworth: The things that go on at Shrivenham are not exclusively defence; there are a lot of cross-government courses and training that is made available from the Defence Academy to other government departments. There is a course that I spoke to while you were there which was not exclusively defence, but people from other government departments were there at the time participating in the same courses as military personnel and civilians from the Ministry of Defence.

Q104 Chairman: But I would echo what John Smith says, that a half day spent at Shrivenham by the entire Cabinet would pay absolute dividends for the future of the country, and I would suggest that is something you should be seriously considering.

Lord West of Spithead: I am all for more military training for everybody, but I think it is just worth emphasising that an awful lot of these issues that we are talking about, the prime responders and the people who are primarily responsible for acting on them are other government departments and agencies. Taking the resilience area, for example, since the Civil Contingencies Act, there is no doubt a lot has been done there in terms of getting acts together and being able to react to these things, and there are large numbers of people. We have something in the region of, if you count VSOs and everything else, 160/170,000 police in this country, then one looks at the numbers in the military and then we have got 52,000 in the fire brigades. The numbers involved and the responsibilities do lie with these other groups and, as I say, since the Civil Contingencies Act and our National Capabilities Programme, I think we are getting better and better at responding. When one needs the military, apart from some very niche things, if something goes dramatically worse, then there are mechanisms for actually achieving that, but, as my colleague says, there are certain things like MCT and certain things like the air capability which of course could not be provided by anyone other than the military itself.

Mr Havard: One component we saw there was - is it called the Advanced Research Group - ARAG. To me, it is the Advanced Research Group.

Mr Holloway: And Assessment Group.

Mr Havard: Somebody is doing research and this research, whether it is stabilisation in Afghanistan, it is about resilience, it is about all of the various components of national security, and it is something that is under pressure, I believe, in terms of funding every year. It is one of those sorts of things where research is always thought to be not very useful until you need it of course and then nobody has been doing it. It just seems to me that it is a very valuable resource and it is maybe something which ought to be supplemented and embellished rather than under threat through its funding because it is the one place that brings together all the component parts.

Chairman: Well, Minister, you have heard our plug for your establishment.

Q105 Mr Borrow: We have had mention earlier in the proceedings of the role of Commander-in-Chief, Land and the support for civilian authorities, and there are a few questions that I had earmarked to ask you and some of them we may have touched on, but I will just run through them and perhaps get a response, Minister, to those issues. Firstly, could you outline briefly how the provision of military aid is made to the civilian authorities and what provision the MoD makes for emergencies in the UK? In what sort of situations would the civilian authorities be likely to request support from the Armed Forces and how is that decision made as to whether or not that support is given? Finally, are there specific capabilities which you have earmarked for supporting the civilian authorities? I think, Minister, you mentioned one situation and I was not quite sure whether that meant that you could not tell us about the rest or whether there was a wider range of specific capabilities which you could bring into the public domain at this point in time.

Mr Ainsworth: There are two broad categories of capabilities which we maintain and one, I would say, is niche capabilities which other people generally cannot provide, and that is a full range from the air component through to maritime counterterrorism, Special Forces' capabilities, things that we cannot go into in detail, but they are there and the MoD is the provider, and then there is augmentation capability as well. Generally speaking, that is pulled together through the Commander-in-Chief, Land and the regional structure. Now, that can be provided by whatever is available to suit the purpose at the time. Sometimes it is Reserves and sometimes it is Regular Forces to meet the needs of the particular request. All of those are approved at ministerial level. All of them are charged against the Department which is requesting the assistance because they are the people who actually hold the responsibility, not the MoD, in the first place. If there is a training gain to the MoD in conducting a particular operation, then we take that into account in the charges that we make, but that is the broad structure. I do not know whether Jon might want to put any more on that.

Mr Day: I think, Chip, you can go through the details.

Brigadier Chapman: This really comes into three areas. That we provide military aid to the civil authorities is the broad-brush one and of course within the UK you have civil powers, which we support, by the government departments, the agencies, etc. I think your question is specific to the civil communities and, at the high end of that, we have Military Aid to the Civil Authorities, Category A, which is when there is a threat to life. When there is a threat to life, we would not charge and the Commander-in-Chief, Land, as the standing joint commander, would force-generate from any available Forces outside of the guaranteed niche capability to bring the capability to bear. For example, in the Gloucestershire floods last year when we provided 1,026 people to help the civil community in that circumstance, that was force-generated from SJC Land from the Regular and Reserve Force structure without any need to caveat defence outputs elsewhere in the world or in the UK within the basket of niche capabilities which are guaranteed 24/7, 365 for the high-end counterterrorist aspects or certain other guaranteed capabilities that we bring to bear.

Mr Day: If it would be helpful, we can provide you with examples of the kinds of areas of support we have provided in recent years, both on an unclassified basis and on a classified basis as well.

Chairman: Yes, both of those would be helpful, thank you.

Q106 Mr Borrow: Can I just follow up and ask you, Minister, in relation to the sort of support that would be available in terms of helicopters over the next couple of years, are there any changes likely in that sort of support that can be provided in the UK to civilian authorities from helicopters were circumstances to arise when that request could be made?

Mr Ainsworth: Well, we have the search and rescue capability and we have also got a training capability constantly available in the UK which could be recharged.

Brigadier Chapman: It is worth saying that of course one of the few places where we do have a lead government department responsibility is in the provision of search and air rescue, and the number of places I do not think is going to rise in the future, and of course they are of extremely high readiness every day of the year to help the civil community. Of course in the Gloucestershire floods last year, that was the biggest search and rescue used in the UK, I think, since the Second World War.

Q107 Mr Borrow: Are there any plans to change that capability in terms of the UK as against the capability that is available in theatre?

Brigadier Chapman: It is different with a different series of aircraft; they are mutually exclusive.

Mr Ainsworth: Search and rescue aircraft do not leave the UK, they are permanently tasked in the UK, but in Gloucestershire we used more than just search and rescue helicopters. We had Chinooks active in the area and the other helicopters which were just available and within the UK that we put to task in order to assist.

Q108 Mr Borrow: Are there any changes proposed in terms of the provision that would be available were those circumstances to arise again?

Mr Ainsworth: Specifically on helicopters, we have to maintain a helicopter force in the UK overwhelmingly for training purposes, and that is not going to alter. It is not just a case of your helicopter capability out in theatre, it is not judged by how many frames you can get out in theatre, but it is trained crews that you can get out in theatre that is often the pinchpoint, so you have to have that capability back in the UK.

Q109 Mr Borrow: So as to the level of helicopter support that would be available in 18 months' time, were an emergency similar to the floods that took place in Gloucestershire last year to happen, we would be able to mobilise the same number of helicopters as were available to be mobilised in 2007?

Mr Ainsworth: I know of no reason why we should not be able to.

Chairman: I am sure you will find that we have further questions to ask on that sort of thing in due course.

Q110 Mr Holloway: Admiral, if there were a series of big, white flashes in a provincial town or city or in London and there were thousands of dead and injured, can you give us just a flavour of the sorts of things that would happen in the aftermath in terms of all that you have been putting together?

Lord West of Spithead: Sorry, do you mean CBRN-type?

Q111 Mr Holloway: Or whatever, but something with many thousands of dead and injured, 10,000, say. What sort of things would come in?

Lord West of Spithead: Well, the initial reactions, as I say, will be taken by the prime authorities, so it will be the police, fire brigade and ambulance which will take the initial actions. Very quickly, if it is a huge thing, it will become clear that they might need extra resources for cordons or whatever it might be, or, if it is a CBRN-type thing, actually for assistance in terms of work with contaminated things, things like that. Then, just digressing down that route, we have done some really good work there with defence and we have a police unit down at Winterbourne Gunner who work very closely and they do lots of exercises for gold, silver and bronze commanders and at (?) they do similar work, so again over the last few months there has been a huge amount of work there on preparedness for those sorts of things. We would then have to ask for help from the MoD in terms of a MACP request or whatever.

Q112 Chairman: Sorry, can you translate that please?

Lord West of Spithead: That is Military Aid, Civil Power. COBRA obviously would be established and at COBRA would be MoD, plus all the various people, and it would become very apparent that this was a very major thing. There would be demands from the people who are set up to respond that they needed extra resources and those bits would come in. Now, initially they might well think, "Well, we can do this with extra resources and police from other constabularies", things like that, but then they might rapidly say, "We need actually MoD assistance, we need extra resources", as I say, for cordons, a helicopter, or whatever it might be.

Q113 Mr Holloway: Do you, for example, have a system in place whereby you can suddenly generate beds for 5,000 seriously injured people across the country or 10,000?

Lord West of Spithead: I do not know the exact numbers, but the Department of Health have in place plans to take major numbers of casualties, and this is part of what we do across the board, that we push the departments that they have to put in various contingency plans, and it applies similarly to pandemic flu, it applies to dealing with dead bodies from pandemics. All of these things have to be looked at by that appropriate department to set in place plans and have those sitting there to action, and we do then exercise those as paper exercises and also some of them we exercise as actually people ----

Q114 Mr Holloway: But do you have a rough idea of how many beds you could generate over a very short period of time for a very, very large number of civilians?

Lord West of Spithead: I have to say, I honestly do not, and it would be the Department of Health who would be able to tell you that very rapidly because they have things. For example, if a major, wide-bodied jet lands and hits London, there are things in place for what we do if that happens, and one would expect that there would be things in place for that, but I cannot give you a precise answer to that, I am afraid.

Q115 Mr Jenkin: Just on this helicopters point, I represent an east of England constituency which is liable to flooding, coastal flooding, and in 1953 there were very serious floods and a great many people drowned, but, in these days of helicopters, one hopes the helicopters would be available and, as a topical subject, one would hope they would have winches because, in lifting people to safety from a flooded area, you require a winch in your helicopters. Is that something which is being addressed?

Mr Ainsworth: There are winches widely available in the helicopter fleet and all of our helicopters in Afghanistan are now fitted with ----

Q116 Mr Jenkin: And on the training helicopters that would be deployed in an emergency?

Mr Ainsworth: I cannot say that every training helicopter in the United Kingdom is fitted with a winch, no, I cannot say that. There are not only military helicopters available, but there are a lot of helicopters available through all kinds of different organisations in the United Kingdom in the way that there was not a generation ago.

Q117 Chairman: Again, we will come back to that in due course.

Mr Ainsworth: All the search and rescue helicopters have got winches of course.

Lord West of Spithead: If I could just say to Bernard and his very valid question about flooding, what is a step forward is that this is now actually identified in the National Security Strategy as an issue. That is why I say this is a step forward and this means that, as it is in there, these will have to be addressed because the National Security Strategy will sit there and it will affect all those departments because, as it gets more comprehensive, it will start putting a weighting on things and people will have to say, "Right, we've got to do something about that", and it will force people to do things, so I think it is a good thing.

John Smith: I do not think we should give the impression that there is general concern about the ability to respond to civil disasters. We had a major civil disaster exercise in my constituency recently in Barry with an airliner crashing into the big number one dock, involving all the services, and, I have to say, it was a huge success and the professionalism displayed by both civilian, voluntary and professional military personnel was exceptional. Why they chose Barry, I am not sure, Mr Chairman. I think it was to protect the next episode of Gavin and Stacey! It was a very successful exercise.

Chairman: Another tribute!

Q118 Mr Holloway: Do you have groups of people who sit around working up potential scenarios of things that terrorists might do, areas that are vulnerable?

Lord West of Spithead: What you are talking about here is 'red-teaming'.

Q119 Mr Holloway: Yes.

Lord West of Spithead: JTAC do a small amount of that, but of course do very good analysis of the threat. It is a very good point, we do not have red teams set up specifically. We do task within the OSCT and we say, "Right, what ifs, what ifs, what ifs", and I will not go into some of the 'what ifs' because it might tell, but I can give you one 'what if'. For example, as we have done a very good job of melting down our own financial systems in the world, if I were an enemy, I would think, "How could I actually help them along the route?" so I said, "I want a 'what if' for the things they might do", and that work is going on, and they have come up with various options. Is that the sort of thing you mean, Adam?

Mr Holloway: Well, at a more sort of tactical level. Do you have people who sit around dreaming how you might blow up an airliner by putting different chemicals together?

Chairman: We do not want to go into examples, but do you?

Q120 Mr Holloway: Are there people who play that scenario at a very practical, technical sort of level?

Lord West of Spithead: We have people at very practical levels who are looking at the details of how these things are done. I have got to be quite careful in what I say actually.

Q121 Chairman: Would you like more? The answer to that is always yes.

Lord West of Spithead: Like more?

Q122 Chairman: Would you like more people doing this horizon-scanning?

Lord West of Spithead: I think probably we need just to tweak out how the people there are doing it. Clearly, when I go back and they say, "My God, you were offered more by somebody and you didn't take them", but I think actually we can do it within our structures and it is a question of just making sure it is done in exactly the right way, so, for example, JTAC, I think, needs just a little bit more of that and they are doing some really good work, but it just needs some slight tweaking.

Q123 Mr Jenkin: Can I ask about the CCRFs, the Civil Contingency Reaction Forces, which, I think, were mobilised in 2004. Brigadier, you said that in Gloucestershire, for example, some Reserves were deployed in Gloucestershire?

Brigadier Chapman: That is correct.

Q124 Mr Jenkin: But were they the CCRFs?

Brigadier Chapman: No, they were not. The reason the CCRFs were not there, it is a sign of success because we can force-generate quickly from the Regular Force structure. Now, the difference between them in a sense is that the CCRFs are something which you might need to mobilise for Mr Holloway's high-end 10,000 people consequence management scenario. We have used Reserves under sections 22 and 27 of the Reserve Forces Act 1996. The CCRFs, if there were a high-end disaster, would need to be mobilised, and obviously it is not for me to say, but that is quite a high-end political decision to take, so the CCRFs have not been used as formed units since they were formed under the SDR new chapter, and that is because we have never met the threshold where we needed to use them because of the increasing civil resilience brought about by the Civil Contingencies Act and the other range of initiatives which have gone on since 2002.

Q125 Mr Jenkin: Well, that is an extremely good answer and one which you might have been thinking of before you came here because, speaking to members of the TA at the 100th Anniversary of the Essex TA celebrations earlier this month, they would like to be deployed in civil emergencies, they would like to wear their uniforms on their home patch and know that they were going to be deployed. Are these CCRFs really deployable?

Mr Ainsworth: You cannot mobilise them unnecessarily.

Q126 Mr Jenkin: I appreciate that.

Mr Ainsworth: They are there and we can mobilise them. In every region there is a CCRF, around about 500-strong from the Reserves, that can be mobilised. In the Gloucestershire case that you talk about, we were asked for specific capability, we were asked for it very quickly and we were not asked for large numbers. We were asked for helicopter lift, we were asked for bodies to build protection around some of the flood infrastructure and we were asked for some logistics to get water distributed. Now, we had Regular Forces and Reserve Forces available to us in order to be able to do that.

Q127 Mr Jenkin: But is it actually more expensive to deploy the CCRFs from Regular Forces and is that why you still draw on the Regular Forces, despite all the other commitments and cancelled leave and cancelled training and all the other things they have to put up with under the present circumstances?

Mr Ainsworth: Yes, there was no request. There was a very urgent requirement to make sure that the initial planning and water distribution was done and the Army did that and had the capability available and did that and then handed over to other people fairly quickly, so it was not an ongoing necessity for us to carry on distributing the water, but we had other people that were happy to do it, but who just did not have that ability to react quickly.

Mr Day: I do not think this is an issue of cost. I think that, if the contingency were large enough, then these would be the people that we would mobilise.

Q128 Mr Jenkin: Do the CCRFs ever exercise as formed units or are too many of them deployed on operations to exercise as formed units?

Mr Day: Because they are based on infantry battalions, they exercise within the framework of being a disciplined body of men with a coherent C3 structure that can be used to execute instructions most likely in an unarmed manner, so again, if you go to Mr Holloway's example, you would probably want them to do a consequence management task as generalists where they do not need any specialist training because we would bring in specialists, like we did, for example, with engineers on the Gloucestershire floods.

Q129 Mr Jenkin: But one gets a bit depressed to hear, for example, that Two UK Signals Brigade may be the next bit of the TA to be axed in the general run-down of our TA and Reserves when that is a crucial link between the blue-light services and the Armed Forces. One senses that these are not really a priority area of present defence policy.

Mr Day: Two Signals Brigade were used, elements were used on the Gloucestershire floods; they were the reservist element I was largely referring to.

Q130 Mr Jenkin: Can we have an assurance that they are not going to be disbanded?

Mr Ainsworth: We have a Reserve Review which is being conducted currently.

Q131 Mr Jenkin: Exactly.

Mr Ainsworth: Well, you know and other Members of Parliament know that that is ongoing and we will be reporting to Parliament in due course. There is no suggestion that a particular unit is going to be axed, nor has there been any suggestion that that review is in any way finance-led. It is about making our Reserves more appropriate to our needs today, and that is being conducted with that in mind.

Q132 Mr Jenkin: But is it not the problem that the National Security Strategy said that the Government was determined to shift the overall balance of defence procurement towards the support of current operations, and of course that means away from longer-term capabilities? We know that is happening on training and we know that is happening on manpower. Is it not the case that really these Reserve Forces for civil contingencies are quite far down the list of priorities because of the pressures on the Armed Forces elsewhere?

Mr Ainsworth: We have to give appropriate priority to our current operations and any government would do that. We have got to make sure that we are giving them that appropriate priority, but that is not to say that we can forget about tomorrow's threat and all of these other issues, and we have no intentions of doing so.

Mr Jenkin: So overstretch is not affecting ----

Q133 Chairman: Before we get on to that issue, can I come back to the Civil Contingency Reserve Force. You are drawing a distinction, are you not, between mobilisation and deployment?

Brigadier Chapman: Yes.

Q134 Chairman: How long does it take to mobilise the Civil Contingency Reserve Force?

Brigadier Chapman: Within this forum, all I can say is that they are extremely high-readiness forces. I would not like to go into specifics.

Mr Day: Again we can write to you with the details.

Q135 Chairman: Could you?

Mr Day: Yes.

Q136 Chairman: Is that something that is sensitive?

Mr Day: Yes, it is.

Q137 Mr Jenkin: We know that the Armed Forces are stretched in the infantry departments, but you are able to give me and the Committee an assurance that the degree of stretch in the Armed Forces, which we know is very intense at the moment, is not affecting the readiness of Civil Contingency Reaction Forces, even though many of those personnel are actually deployed themselves on operations?

Mr Ainsworth: The fact that the Army is working hard and, yes, is stretched has had no bearing on any decision not to mobilise the Civil Contingency Reaction Forces.

Mr Jenkin: Well, you cannot put it more starkly than that.

Mr Hancock: In our predecessor Committee in 2002, we were discussing, in our report then, the ability of the Royal Air Force to respond to a rogue aircraft coming into the UK and we were given assurances at that time that the MoD were satisfied on the legal basis for shooting down an aircraft, and we were told that there was a procedure in place where the final decision would be taken by a minister, not necessarily the Prime Minister, but by a minister. Has that policy changed over those five or six years and, if so, in what way?

Q138 Chairman: This is one of those areas where you might feel it difficult to answer some of the questions.

Mr Ainsworth: All I can say, Chairman, is that since the Committee's report we did look at the issues that were raised by it about the capability of our people and we satisfied ourselves that we had the appropriate systems in place and appropriate protections in place. I cannot go into the detail of who gives approval, but we have satisfied ourselves as well as to the legal basis of that capability.

Q139 Mr Hancock: But the decision presumably would still be taken by a minister as opposed to a civil servant in the Cabinet Office?

Mr Ainsworth: Yes, the decision would be taken by an elected minister, yes.

Q140 Mr Hancock: If you have read that report, you will know, Minister, that one of the issues was about the psychological effects of doing this would have on pilots, in particular, and whether or not we were giving them adequate preparedness, not after the event, but before the event, to make sure that they were psychologically equipped for doing it. The Committee did actually visit the bases and we did speak to pilots who were involved in this process and at that time there was very little pre-training and support for pilots who were engaged in this, and I would be grateful if you could update us on what procedures are now in place to ensure that the aircrews themselves and their support are given the right sort of help.

Mr Ainsworth: We have, since that, looked at the preparedness of the aircrew, the support that is in there ahead of the task that might be applied to them, but also what would need to be provided after such an event, should it ever come about, so we have looked at all of those issues to try to make sure that we have got appropriate support systems in place for our people.

Q141 Mr Hancock: Well, I am more concerned about in advance of the process because that is the very real difficulty. That is the real problem, is it not?

Mr Ainsworth: There is an issue of aftercare as well, but I am talking about preparedness as well.

Q142 Mr Hancock: In advance?

Mr Ainsworth: Yes.

Q143 Mr Hancock: If I can just ask one question relating to what you have said previously, are you all satisfied in civil preparedness that local government is in a position to be able to respond because, whilst they were given powers, they were once again devoid of resources to support the powers they were given? With responsibility for civil preparedness, are you collectively sure that local government is in a real position to be able to respond in the way that you would expect it to?

Lord West of Spithead: Well, I think now because we have, as I say, the Civil Contingencies Act, the National Capabilities Programme, we have the various groups like the local resilience forums, regional resilience forums, I think stemming down from our NRA, the National Risk Assessment, which of course is the restricted version which became the National Risk Register, which is one that local councils and the public can see, people are aware now what things they have to prepare for and I think that, within the amounts of money that local government have, they set aside the right sums and the right training to achieve that.

Q144 Mr Hancock: But no extra resource was given to local government. I am still a member of local government and I know from my own city's point of view that it is very difficult to manage, the responsibilities that have been given against the resources that are available. I think this was classically, in the civil contingencies legislation, an issue of passing the responsibility, but with none of the supporting resources which would be necessary to bring it to the level that you, as a government, would expect local authorities to provide.

Mr Ainsworth: Resourcing is an ongoing friction between local government and central government. You do know that local government always say that they want resources for particular allocations and responsibilities and the last thing they want is a levering in of all of the monies that are passed to them.

Q145 Mr Hancock: I understand that, but, when new powers are devolved, particularly powers which involve them in taking on some very big responsibilities and co-ordination and even research of what is available, etc, they are very expensive and the Government did not pass to local authorities the resources necessary. I am interested to know, are you satisfied that your response from local government to what you have asked of them is sufficient to give you confidence that they can deliver?

Lord West of Spithead: I think, as I say, what now they are very clear on is what is required.

Q146 Mr Hancock: On what they have to do, yes.

Lord West of Spithead: Some local authorities have been given extra funding and maybe I could get back to you in writing on that to actually identify what it has been. Also, there are certain things that are provided centrally, so, for example, aspects of CBRN equipment for police forces are provided centrally and provided to these groups, so, whilst, I am sure, always one would like to have extra money to do things, I do not think it is quite as bleak maybe as you are saying.

Chairman: Before you move on from that, it would be helpful if you could give us an assessment of how well-prepared you think local authorities are.

Mr Hancock: Absolutely. We had a whole session dedicated to it and we actually visited local authorities, and one of the issues, I would say to you, is the failure of the communication system which allowed the local authority to be able to talk direct to the police or fire who were actually on site and they would always have to be going through a third party and sometimes the third party was not equipped, so you had four different systems in place in some instances, the Police, the Army, the Ambulance Service and local authorities. They had no way of communicating on a shared system.

Q147 Chairman: So we are back to mountain rescue again. Perhaps you could do us that assessment.

Lord West of Spithead: Absolutely, I will do that. Just on the communications, you are absolutely right, that there are these differences, but we are correcting those things. Airwave was no doubt a big step forward and the fire brigades will be moving across that, and we are getting better at getting people on the same frequency, but it is not good. For example, there are 43 police forces and, with those 43 police forces, you have to knock heads together to make them buy equipment that is compatible, and that is something that I am putting some effort into because that is clearly a nonsense. These are things that one has to work at and we are getting better at it. I go back to the National Security Strategy and everything that comes down from that, that we are better at identifying these things and we are able then to equip them and start doing something about it, but I certainly would not give the impression that we are there yet. Certainly you will have people on different radio frequencies, but that is something we are working at trying to resolve, and I think we will get there.

Mr Havard: I do not want to make the point about voluntary organisations again, but, when you do this about local authorities, here speaks an English local councillor, but there are Scots and Welsh and the arrangements are subtly and slightly different and, if you can take that into account when you do it, that would be helpful.

Mr Jenkins: Can I get back to air defence please. There was a well-recorded incident recently about a civilian aircraft flying into British airspace and our fighters went up to intercept it. They could not contact it because the blinds were all drawn on the flight deck and it took them nearly half an hour to raise the crew who were asleep. It is true, is it not?

Mr Havard: It was in The Sun, so it must be true!

Chairman: I am not sure where we are going with this though.

Q148 Mr Jenkins: Well, I am. Was the Minister totally involved, so they knew when they were going to give the order and how were they going to give the order to shoot that plane down? Why is it that an aircraft can come into British airspace with the crew asleep and not log in to say, "We're now coming into your airspace", because, otherwise, one day someone is going to shoot down a civilian plane?

Mr Ainsworth: I do not think that we came close to shooting the aircraft down, I am not sure.

Q149 Mr Jenkins: Why?

Mr Ainsworth: I am not aware of the incident that Mr Jenkins is talking about. There are infringements of British airspace all of the time that the RAF are responding to and not everything that you read in the press is true. I read in the press of how a Russian aircraft managed to reach our airspace and the RAF totally failed to respond to it, but, when you actually look at the facts, it was nothing like what was actually reported, so I will have a look into what you are raising with me and I will come back to you with an answer, but it certainly was not raised with me.

Q150 Chairman: It may be that, for one reason or another, the aircraft was not judged to be a threat.

Mr Ainsworth: Well, if it were judged to be a threat, then certain operations would have gone into place.

Mr Hancock: It must have been a threat to send two fighters up to intercept it. Someone must have made that judgment.

Chairman: We move on to the maritime world.

Q151 Mr Hamilton: Perhaps I might ask a question and the original question was asked by Mike and others about being mentally prepared for a potential disaster coming up. One of the things that happened in New Orleans in the floods was of course there was a desertion by the police of about 25/30 per cent and the police actually went over the wall rather than do the job they were employed to do, so, when you are doing mental preparedness for the various authorities, surely that must be something that you will look right across the board at, especially with the voluntary sector and especially those who are not in the Armed Forces. Could you report just on how that has been dealt with because that is a big issue. It is one where we have practical experience where a flood took place, and everyone knew it was going to come, and yet there were major desertions in the various organisations that were meant to deal with that flood, so could I ask that question and maybe see how we could deal with that.

Lord West of Spithead: I do not know whether that has been taken into account by the groups that are planning that, but, for example, when we are doing the pandemic work, we make assumptions about quite large percentages of people not appearing, up as high as, I think, 40 per cent we are talking about, as high as that on occasions, so work is done there, so I would imagine that it is included, but maybe I could get back to you on that to confirm that it is.

Q152 Mr Hamilton: In terms of maritime security, could you explain where the responsibility lies between the Home Office and the participation of Armed Forces units? Who has the primary responsibility, and how are other agencies engaged?

Mr Ainsworth: We are required to hold forces at readiness, but we do not have prime responsibility for the maritime environment.

Q153 Mr Hamilton: Who has the prime responsibility?

Lord West of Spithead: I think it sort of slightly depends on what we are looking at. If it is to do with shipping and ship safety, it is TRANSEC, and I understand, Chairman, that they are coming to talk to you at some stage and, if they are not, they ought to if you are particularly interested in maritime security, and there are certain aspects of maritime security and our ports and harbours. If it is to do with illegal immigrants and smuggling, then it is UKBA, the UK Border Agency, and HMRC, so that would be a Home Office issue. If it is to do with pollution and things like that, then it is MCA. I think what I am slowing going down the route of saying is that this tapestry in those offshore waters is highly complex, highly complex. Now, there are groups that meet to discuss this, including the MoD. There is the NMSC, the National Maritime Security Committee, there is SDAC, which I used to knew well when I was in the Navy, which is the Shipping Defence Advisory Committee. In those, all the key players actually meet, but it is a highly complex area. Indeed it is an area in terms of the issue of illegal immigrants, in terms of could terrorists come in that way, in terms of other aspects of terrorism and things like that where I have asked Chief Constable Hogan-Howe, who is the Merseyside man, he is the co-ordinator within ACPO for these maritime issues and we are doing some work looking at that. As I say, the co-ordination at the moment is done through those two groups. The primary one, safety for shipping, is to with TRANSEC, it is a transport issue. There is a specific where the military would be involved. For example, I do not know if you remember the MV Nisha incident, but clearly then what swung into operation was our maritime counterterrorism group which is highly trained, always available, and my colleague would be able to talk about it in more detail, but that is a classic example of how this is done. I think the other thing is that, in our territorial seas and then beyond that into our economic zone, actually the police force which abuts on to it, the Chief Constable has a responsibility for that area in policing terms, but he has very few assets with which to do something and, therefore, again often one would have to use the Royal Navy to achieve that because, even though it might only be a couple of miles, you only need a force seven or something like that and the chap in a rowing boat cannot do very much, so the Navy has to be involved and that is the niche where it would be involved and they would be called for assistance. I know that sounds a rather complicated answer, but it is very a very complicated thing.

Q154 Mr Hamilton: The second part was that nobody has direct responsibility for the waters around the UK. Is that what you are saying?

Lord West of Spithead: No, I am not saying that.

Q155 Mr Hamilton: Who is responsible for the waters around the UK?

Lord West of Spithead: In what respect?

Q156 Mr Hamilton: Who takes direct responsibility for monitoring the waters around the UK?

Lord West of Spithead: For the monitoring of all movements then? Well, what we are able to do is that anything of about 50 metres in length has to have an AIS - I have forgotten what it is called - but anyway it has to be monitored so that you know where it is. Anything below that size, the answer is that you do not. One of the issues I have asked the question of TRANSEC is that, if you look at the Channel of a summer, there are hundreds of thousands, if not millions, of boats that go backwards and forwards across to the Continent or along the coast and actually we do not have a handle on all of those. Everything has to be effectively intelligence-based. To actually have a handle on all of that would be very, very complex and extremely difficult. When I was First Sea Lord, I was looking at possible options of could one put the sort of chip that you stick in your Coke can which tells the people who are distributing Coke cans that it is actually empty, could we have something like that on these and we were looking at various options. I do not believe that work has got any further, but maybe my colleagues from MoD know that answer, but we are not able to monitor all traffic in our waters, but, as I say, the work that we do, whether it is HMRC, illegals, whatever, it is intelligence-based and that is often very successful.

Q179 Mr Holloway: Yes, I know, but that is my point.

Mr Ainsworth: COBRA will form in a particular format based on the circumstances.

Q180 Mr Holloway: Well, that is reactive, but who is actually joining it up? If we go back to unity of command and unity of purpose, the comprehensive approach, joined-up stuff, it all sounds very good, all this process and paper-pushing, but who is actually in charge?

Lord West of Spithead: It is not process and paper-pushing.

Q181 Mr Holloway: It is an easy answer, it is not complicated.

Lord West of Spithead: As I say, in the Department of Health there will be in place plans to generate numbers of beds going up to certain levels for certain incidents.

Q182 Mr Holloway: But who is in charge?

Lord West of Spithead: Well, when the incident happens, as I say, COBRA will meet and locally they will start saying, "This is bigger than we thought. Therefore, we need this other assistance", and COBRA will say, "Right, clearly we're actually talking here of a 10,000 death thing, so we will need to have extra places for bodies to be stored, we will need extra hospital beds because of the numbers involved", and all those statistics and figures are all there. They will say, "Implement plan so-and-so" and, bang, up they come with certain numbers.

Q183 Mr Jenkin: My question follows on from this which is that we all know from the polling evidence that the public does not really like being stirred up about this subject. It makes politicians get accused of trying to frighten the public for some sort of political reasons and it is regarded with great suspicion. Is there a danger that, because we all want to avoid doing that, we are actually not giving this the profile in government that it really deserves and that we do not want to have a national security minister in the Cabinet because that would add to the anxiety of people and raise people's suspicions more, but have we actually not got to face it and have we also not got to recognise that the public need to be made aware of these dangers because, the more aware the public is of these dangers and risks, the more alive they are to those risks and in fact the safer we will be?

Mr Ainsworth: And that is the whole reason for publishing the National Security Strategy and all of the work that will flow from that in order to put the necessary departments in place and then to take that out, as appropriate, into the public domain and to warn people appropriately so that they could help and contribute.

Q184 Chairman: I also think that we have perhaps been pursuing a question of whether there should be a Cabinet minister involved in national security which is beyond your and our pay grades.

Lord West of Spithead: It is certainly beyond my pay grade, that is for sure!

Chairman: Not beyond ours, but probably beyond yours!

Q185 Mr Jenkins: Based on Lord West's answer, in a pandemic we plan for maybe 40 per cent illness.

Lord West of Spithead: Not illness, no. We are talking about non-shows because some people, we believe, will not come in. This is what this was referring to, that some people might well say, "I'm not going to come in because my family are ill", so we are making an assessment. We also make an assessment of how many are actually ill as well, but this is on top of that.

Q186 Mr Jenkins: So we have got a situation with 40 per cent non-shows in our strategic and vital industries of health, water and power. Do we have power or will we need to create power for the direction of labour so we can put people in, and maybe this is civil contingency?

Lord West of Spithead: Well, I think if things got that bad, we would use the Civil Contingencies Act to ensure that we could do what was necessary to ensure that things happened. I said 40 per cent and I do not want to be quoted exactly on that because I am not sure exactly.

Q187 Mr Jenkins: But do we have the authority within the Civil Contingencies Act to redirect labour in this country?

Lord West of Spithead: Yes, we do.

Q188 Mr Hancock: You need to say that your plan takes account of the possibility of 40 per cent not turning up so the 60 per cent can operate the plan. Otherwise, the wrong message goes out again to the public when you have built in the contingency of 40 per cent.

Lord West of Spithead: Absolutely. We built it, or when I say "we", this is down at quite local level and within departments, that they should have in place, and it is things like running prisons, there is a whole raft of things, all of which have to happen on the basis that there will be a reduced number of people doing it because they will not be there, those people, and there is a whole mass of things which need to be taken into account. Going to Bernard's point, some of these, when you develop them, do frighten the horses and you then get accused of saying, "You're doing this, you're frightening everyone", so we have to be very careful and do it in a very sensible, measured way because actually it is incumbent on any government to make sure that they are in place, the right measures, to look after the safety and security of our people, and I believe that is what we are trying to do.

Chairman: Well, thank you very much indeed all of you for giving us evidence and helping, even those of you who did not speak; it is much appreciated. This has been a very interesting, in some ways reassuring, in some ways alarming, morning's evidence, but I think that is the end of it.